0x8d9ae3266066a7d9af784094e3127b0a22cd4841
0x8d9ae3266066a7d9af784094e3127b0a22cd4841
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$33.33
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
13333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$33.33
$-6.65
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
23589 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-165.12
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
12027 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-384.35
- YES
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
7027 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-55.99
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
6250 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?
5599 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?
5556 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- NO
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?
5345 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-523.50
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?
5010 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-130.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?
4886 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$41.99Jun 9, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$56.00May 22, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 8?$53.12Apr 8, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?$53.12Apr 8, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?$218.80Apr 1, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clavicular get frame mogged by Gorlock the Destroyer on stream during Mog World Order?$53.91Mar 26, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$384.36Mar 10, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$4.0KFeb 28, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$200.00Feb 27, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?$140.00Feb 27, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?$100.00Feb 25, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?$136.85Feb 24, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$594.37Feb 24, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?$163.98Feb 23, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$115.50Feb 23, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?$130.00Feb 22, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?$100.00Feb 22, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 5AM ET$281.73Jan 29, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?$14.50Jan 28, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?$14.73Jan 28, 14:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $378.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 12:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 09:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.