Limp-Jicama
0x8da4d0b535b1eb694f79de7ded3aaf48b3d068b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$18.77
Total PnL
$-23.7K
Realised
$37.01
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
139 shares @ 13.9¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.77
$-0.52
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
18204 shares @ 97.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-17.8K
- NO
Ethereum flipped in 2026?
9971 shares @ 54.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-5.4K
- NO
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
450 shares @ 96.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-435.30
- YES
Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address?
129 shares @ 98.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-127.16
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.4KMar 31, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEM Will Iranian officials visit the White House by February 28?$200.26Mar 3, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Ali Khamenei in February?$1.1KMar 3, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in February?$1.4KMar 3, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?$11.7KMar 3, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMTrump drops Powell investigation by February 28?$12.2KMar 3, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump drops Powell investigation by February 28?$999.00Mar 1, 00:32 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump drops Powell investigation by February 28?$516.69Mar 1, 00:32 UTC
- TRADESELL Will Iranian officials visit the White House by February 28?$235.40Mar 1, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Ali Khamenei in February?$693.08Feb 28, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?$20.25Feb 28, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?$78.40Feb 28, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?$11.05Feb 28, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?$196.72Feb 28, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.3KFeb 28, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?$433.51Feb 28, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELL Will Iranian officials visit the White House by February 28?$751.46Feb 28, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELL Will Iranian officials visit the White House by February 28?$90.53Feb 28, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELL Will Iranian officials visit the White House by February 28?$239.70Feb 28, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELL Will Iranian officials visit the White House by February 28?$134.79Feb 28, 17:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
11/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $256.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 04:37 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 05:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.