Glamorous-Knee
0x8dc2e7f0577f0b6d7602369415dc52c96219f1c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-101.46
Realised
$-0.49
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill China blockade Taiwan in 2026?$63.19Jul 19, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan in 2026?$30.80Jul 19, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan in 2026?$31.50Jul 19, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?$32.20Jul 19, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?$30.10Jul 19, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?$30.80Jul 19, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?$31.50Jul 19, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?$15.36Jul 5, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?$15.72Jul 5, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?$16.09Jul 5, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?$14.98Jul 5, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?$35.60Jul 5, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?$36.40Jul 5, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?$37.20Jul 5, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?$34.80Jul 5, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLLai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?$13.47Jun 19, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLLai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?$1.20Jun 19, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLLai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?$15.15Jun 19, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?$16.25Jun 19, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYLai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?$14.75Jun 19, 02:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $123.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 02:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 05:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.