Severe-Involvement
0x8dc4af3dbe1f76dcaa306b55b7b4b185843ef1c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$86.04
Total PnL
$-118.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5?
86 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$86.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?
1150 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 1?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 10?
665 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
- YES
Will a dozen eggs cost >$4.00 in January?
360 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will "GOAT" Third Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?
345 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in September?
205 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
201 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-26.80
- NO
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5?$86.01Jun 4, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on June 3?$86.09Jun 3, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on June 3?$86.01Jun 2, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$2.46Jun 2, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$88.09May 25, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$88.00May 24, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?$88.09May 20, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?$88.01May 19, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?$2.25May 19, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?$90.09May 13, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?$90.01May 13, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?$1.00May 13, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?$90.00May 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?$1.00May 10, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?$90.00May 7, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?$90.18May 7, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?$90.01May 3, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 27?$90.08May 3, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 27?$90.00Apr 27, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$90.09Apr 27, 13:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $78.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 12:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 12:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".