Stupendous-Statue
0x8de377c627d0a068ac28720658adde23104af0d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
118
Open notional
$25.71
Total PnL
$-122.60
Realised
$-0.41
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 118- ENDLESS JOURNEY
Map Handicap: EJ (-1.5) vs Fortress (+1.5)
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$3.92
$1.92
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
21 shares @ 23.3¢·now 17.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.74
$-1.26
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
9 shares @ 32.2¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.12
$0.12
- INNER CIRCLE ESPORTS
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs
3 shares @ 62.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$1.95
$-0.05
- INNER CIRCLE ACADEMY
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs SAW - Map 1 Winner
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.92
$-0.08
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 96.1¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.69
$-0.00
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?
7 shares @ 12.0¢·now 15.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.03
$0.24
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 14.7¢·now 15.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 13.9¢·now 13.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.69Jun 26, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: EJ (-1.5) vs Fortress (+1.5)$2.03Jun 26, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs$2.02Jun 26, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Dplus vs DRX Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season$2.03Jun 26, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-25?$2.02Jun 26, 02:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?$11.67Jun 26, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?$2.02Jun 26, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?$2.05Jun 26, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winner$3.57Jun 25, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMMap Handicap: FKS (-1.5) vs Pixel Lumina (+1.5)$3.08Jun 25, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winner$2.03Jun 25, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: ECHO vs Walczaki (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group B$2.08Jun 25, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$1.30Jun 25, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Pixel Lumina vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group C$2.04Jun 25, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: FKS (-1.5) vs Pixel Lumina (+1.5)$2.02Jun 25, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Header" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?$0.99Jun 25, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winner$2.46Jun 25, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winner$2.01Jun 25, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner$1.66Jun 25, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner$2.90Jun 25, 15:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 10:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 12:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.