Circular-Airman
0x8de674db0dfe57e85594a32c06b94703d2842938
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$45.1K
Total PnL
$-174.89
Realised
$2.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
14034 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$14.0K
$21.05
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$10.0K
$25.00
- NO
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
5500 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.5K
$77.51
- YES
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
4315 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.3K
$-4.90
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
2460 shares @ 89.9¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$38.95
- NO
Will Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
2000 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.0K
$5.00
- NO
Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1199 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.2K
$0.60
- NO
French election called by June 30, 2026?
1082 shares @ 89.9¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$92.81
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
736 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$734.15
$16.40
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?
730 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$724.78
$1.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.2KJun 13, 10:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?$3.6KJun 12, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?$6.3KJun 12, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?$3.2KJun 12, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$5.9KJun 12, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?$1.0KJun 12, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?$7.9KJun 12, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?$19.99Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?$6.3KJun 12, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?$3.6KJun 12, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?$457.79Jun 12, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?$569.23Jun 12, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?$9.97Jun 12, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?$263.98Jun 12, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?$4.9KJun 12, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$2.0KJun 12, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?$2.7KJun 12, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?$9.89Jun 12, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$96.29Jun 12, 14:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 16:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 10:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.