Interesting-Jack
0x8df9844798755d67b82a9884dc30680f1e9d73dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$7.99
Total PnL
$-409.21
Realised
$-6.52
Win rate
11%
45 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
69 shares @ 3.2¢·now 5.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.62
$1.42
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
77 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.81
$-0.42
- YES
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
73 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.62
$-0.11
- YES
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
73 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.47
$-0.25
- YES
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
73 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.47
$-0.25
- YES
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
76 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.42
$-0.27
- YES
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
179 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.27
$-0.45
- YES
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
73 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.25
$-0.47
- YES
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
73 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.25
$-0.47
- YES
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?
154 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.23
$-0.23
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.25Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$2.20Jul 1, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$2.35Jul 1, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$1.76Jul 1, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMIran coup attempt by June 30?$2.50Jul 1, 06:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
11% win rate over 45 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
45 closed markets, 11% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 05:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 45 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.