Medical-Union
0x8e365ecff910debb65683d73db09de737b1dddfa
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$517.88
Total PnL
$0.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-08 House seat?
100 shares @ 79.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$80.50
$1.50
- NO
Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?
147 shares @ 47.3¢·now 48.5¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$71.17
$1.79
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?
153 shares @ 45.7¢·now 41.5¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$63.42
$-6.45
- NO
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30?
92 shares @ 60.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$61.87
$6.87
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?
51 shares @ 88.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$43.20
$-1.79
- NO
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
46 shares @ 76.3¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.95
$6.95
- NO
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
146 shares @ 27.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$37.26
$-2.19
- YES
Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
117 shares @ 30.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$27.42
$-7.58
- YES
Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
90 shares @ 27.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$24.86
$0.45
- YES
Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?
26 shares @ 69.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$24.72
$7.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?$20.40Aug 4, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?$4.60Aug 4, 06:28 UTC
- REWARD$1.18Aug 4, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?$2.81Aug 3, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?$17.49Aug 3, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?$92.00Aug 3, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?$17.59Aug 3, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?$1.85Aug 3, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30?$55.00Aug 3, 01:48 UTC
- REWARD$2.15Aug 3, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.53Aug 2, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?$21.60Aug 1, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?$35.16Aug 1, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?$22.14Aug 1, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?$0.37Aug 1, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?$1.31Aug 1, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?$3.70Aug 1, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?$0.00Aug 1, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?$0.10Aug 1, 06:05 UTC
- REWARD$1.97Aug 1, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $22.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 11:20 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 08:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.