Roasted-Stamp
0x8e47c49cbf7fc9a813453924fb5d32352df41268
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$516.38
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$-440.68
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
588 shares @ 31.1¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$179.21
$-3.24
- YES
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
386 shares @ 25.9¢·now 28.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$107.99
$7.99
- YES
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
103 shares @ 48.5¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.72
$-9.28
- YES
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
264 shares @ 32.6¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.70
$-54.30
- YES
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
180 shares @ 28.3¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.77
$-21.23
- YES
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
225 shares @ 28.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.90
$-37.10
- YES
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
406 shares @ 13.5¢·now 2.6¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$10.76
$-44.24
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
176 shares @ 18.7¢·now 5.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.82
$-24.18
- YES
Ramp IPO before 2027?
103 shares @ 24.2¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.77
$-16.23
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
65 shares @ 7.6¢·now 12.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.13
$3.13
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.