Frosty-Acknowledgment
0x8e531c9a544f48e8c11da23945576e7a8b837b71
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$67.90
Total PnL
$-140.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- TAMPA BAY RAYS
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
25 shares @ 61.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$14.88
$-0.12
- NO
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
25 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$14.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.90
$0.90
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: May
6 shares @ 94.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.65
$-0.35
- NO
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
78 shares @ 7.7¢·now 7.1¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$5.55
$-0.45
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$4.92
$-0.08
- YES
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
51 shares @ 5.9¢·now 5.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.96
$-0.04
- YES
GTA VI released before November 2026?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$2.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.82
$-3.18
- YES
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.69
$-3.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.07May 28, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$9.65May 28, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.05May 28, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$5.09May 28, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.02May 28, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.02May 28, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$6.00May 28, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$1.00May 28, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$3.45May 28, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$3.57May 28, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on May 29?$1.04May 27, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on May 29?$1.04May 27, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 29?$1.04May 27, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$1.05May 27, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$1.05May 27, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$1.06May 27, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$1.06May 27, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$1.06May 27, 23:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$8.45May 27, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$1.06May 27, 23:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $5.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 18:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 12:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".