Triangular-Tulip
0x8e5c0cc55cda93d6cae14becb3b738a44dcaa68a
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$323.8K
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$39.22
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
326235 shares @ 33.1¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$75.8K
$-32.1K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
74469 shares @ 68.8¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$62.2K
$10.9K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
39727 shares @ 79.9¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.2K
$3.4K
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
34924 shares @ 84.9¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$34.3K
$4.7K
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
25094 shares @ 86.8¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.4K
$2.6K
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
22831 shares @ 65.6¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.2K
$3.2K
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
18784 shares @ 82.1¢·now 88.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.6K
$1.2K
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
18915 shares @ 65.3¢·now 78.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.8K
$2.4K
- NO
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?
5231 shares @ 91.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.2K
$397.90
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25882 shares @ 17.7¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.3K
$-245.88
Recent activity
- YIELD$8.62Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$8.68Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$8.70Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$8.82Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$9.39Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$9.16Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$9.46Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$9.14Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$9.17Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$9.18Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$9.16Jun 3, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.40Jun 2, 09:39 UTC
- YIELD$10.75Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?$220.48Jun 1, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31?$441.41Jun 1, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?$834.51Jun 1, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?$1.2KJun 1, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$23.1KJun 1, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?$1.3KJun 1, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by May 31?$12.3KJun 1, 07:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$10.2K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 17, 13:10 UTC → May 17, 13:06 UTC
- BUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$10.2K@70¢May 17, 13:06 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$10.2K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$10.2K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $436.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 23:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.