Insubstantial-Backdrop
0x8e5e713dbc32ac35816b658e6976fd497abaa6fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$57.08
Total PnL
$-333.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
36 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$36.36
$16.36
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
33 shares @ 43.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$16.12
$2.12
- NO
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?
5 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$4.60
$0.60
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
853 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-122.00
- NO
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
680 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - September 23, 9AM ET
238 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
159 shares @ 30.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-48.00
- YES
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?
141 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-38.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?
94 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
58 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto end in a draw?$17.24Jan 27, 23:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Portugal" or "Portuguese" this week? (January 25)$110.31Jan 27, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto end in a draw?$5.00Jan 22, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$20.00Jan 18, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$40.00Jan 18, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nasty" this week? (January 25)$20.00Jan 17, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Portugal" or "Portuguese" this week? (January 25)$90.00Jan 17, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$63.01Jan 17, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$84.07Jan 17, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$64.88Jan 17, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?$4.00Nov 24, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.00Nov 24, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Nov 24, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$7.69Nov 24, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.00Nov 12, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.00Nov 12, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$25.00Nov 12, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Pocahontas" in October?$28.39Nov 12, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$20.00Nov 5, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$20.00Nov 5, 18:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $15.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 23, 13:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 23:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.