Insignificant-Bassoon
0x8e90c8edd9df042387859fe7c2dc7c16169cdb70
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Henri-Marie Dondra win the 2025 Central African Republic presidential election?
253 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 10 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?
106 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will Democrat Party (DP) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
76 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.08
- NO
Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win fewer than 150 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?
76 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.08
- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win between 205 and 219 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?
76 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.08
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the second round by at least 50%?
75 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.07
- YES
Will the Social Democratic Party loose any seats in Japanese snap election?
75 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.07
- YES
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
74 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.07
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 2 - 8 be between 13,000,000 and 13,250,000?
74 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.07
- YES
Will CRA win 173+ seats in the Japanese snap election?
73 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSwedish Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Andrea Pellegrino AND Cordenons: Sumit Nagal vs Cezar Cretu AND PortlandFire vs. Connecticut Sun AND Granby: August Holmgren vs Yosuke Watanuki AND Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival$10.99Jul 14, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.5KJun 4, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.5KJun 2, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?$42.50Apr 29, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$46.22Apr 29, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$0.04Mar 6, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Labour" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$0.03Feb 25, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?$0.03Feb 25, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?$0.03Feb 24, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?$0.03Feb 23, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 20 be greater than 2,800,000?$0.04Feb 23, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 20 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?$0.03Feb 23, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 20 be less than 2,000,000?$0.04Feb 23, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PvdD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$0.05Feb 23, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NSC be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$0.04Feb 23, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denk be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$0.05Feb 23, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 50PLUS be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$0.03Feb 23, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BBB be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$0.03Feb 23, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SGP be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$0.04Feb 23, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FvD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$0.01Feb 23, 10:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $31.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 13:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 04:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.