Elderly-Arrangement
0x8eadb66f565d117f29bf8aba63b22adcb74cb077
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$1.94
Total PnL
$-11.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6 shares @ 18.1¢·now 15.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 37.2¢·now 30.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.29
$-0.71
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 12AM ET
2 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- UP
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on January 29?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 Week of May 4 2026?$1.06Jun 1, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.75Jun 1, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.03Jun 1, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$5.68May 4, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 Week of May 4 2026?$1.00May 4, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$5.13May 4, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrail Blazers vs. Suns$1.00Apr 15, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$3.03Apr 15, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 15, 12AM ET$1.00Apr 15, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Thunder (-21.5)$1.89Mar 23, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.00Mar 23, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Mar 21, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$1.00Mar 21, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Mar 21, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$1.00Mar 21, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$2.60Mar 21, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-21.5)$1.00Mar 21, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.00Mar 21, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.00Mar 18, 04:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of February 23 above $385?$1.25Mar 18, 04:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 20, 01:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 14:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".