Stained-Impala
0x8eb4474231517fa9b2a63ca42a1b56b602c211d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$31.60
Total PnL
$-298.19
Realised
$11.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
392 shares @ 3.2¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.88
$3.17
- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1154 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.50
$-40.06
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.39
$-5.61
- YES
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.27
$-6.73
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.56
$-9.44
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
2055 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.95
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?
1571 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-67.00
- YES
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after February 2026 meeting?
1137 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
1023 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
284 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-31.80
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$37.00Apr 14, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$47.56Mar 19, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$47.56Mar 19, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$48.35Mar 19, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.46Mar 17, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$20.00Mar 5, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$20.00Mar 5, 18:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $86.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 00:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.