Threadbare-Stepgrandfather
0x8ebf4435ff497bc4a5cd34d3b37bd2d9037fd81d
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-515.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
879 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-509.64
- YES
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-20?
259 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-49.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 13°C on April 9?
185 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on April 9?
162 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on April 9?
158 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.71
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
99 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on April 9?
79 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on April 10?
63 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on April 9?
41 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.78
- YES
No airdrop in 2025?
35 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$509.64Apr 21, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$453.33Apr 21, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 10?$3.60Apr 10, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on April 10?$3.00Apr 10, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on April 9?$5.00Apr 9, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 9?$5.00Apr 9, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on April 9?$6.00Apr 9, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on April 9?$10.00Apr 8, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 13°C on April 9?$2.00Apr 8, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on April 9?$10.00Apr 8, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$100.91Apr 8, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$557.13Feb 19, 03:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 24, 00:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$27.68Jan 23, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$484.85Jan 23, 08:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 23, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 22, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 21, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 20, 01:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 19, 00:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $103.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 06:21 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 09:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.