Dramatic-Servant
0x8eda64f00d1683975d1d39418fd79b4a88cb1d99
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$29.09
Total PnL
$-685.04
Realised
$58.92
Win rate
67%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Jio Platforms IPO by September 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 71.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.75
$-19.75
- YES
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.00 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 49.0¢·now 91.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.42
$2.99
- YES
Will Karmine Corp Win LEC Summer Split 2026?
9 shares @ 22.7¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.65
$2.52
- YES
Will Joey Bosa play for Indianapolis Colts in 2026-27?
15 shares @ 4.0¢·now 9.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.44
$0.84
- YES
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 16.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
5 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.07
- GRIND BACK
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winner
464 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-61.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 22?
279 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-58.86
- ENERGYULTRA
Counter-Strike: ENERGYULTRA vs ReThink (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan Group A
205 shares @ 41.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-84.32
- JAY CLARKE
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Jay Clarke vs Andrea Pellegrino
130 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-37.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNBA Summer League: Indiana Pacers vs. Toronto Raptors$1.80Jul 13, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Summer League: Indiana Pacers vs. Toronto Raptors$1.86Jul 13, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYPozoblanco: Chris Rodesch vs Mert Alkaya$1.25Jul 13, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of July 13 2026?$1.08Jul 13, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Khalil Rountree Jr. vs. Magomed Ankalaev (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$1.97Jul 13, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of July 13 2026?$0.96Jul 13, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIstanbul 2 (Doubles): Lee/Valdmannova vs Falei/Iatcenko$0.49Jul 13, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIstanbul 2 (Doubles): Lee/Valdmannova vs Falei/Iatcenko$0.95Jul 13, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of July 13 2026?$1.05Jul 13, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMSet 2 Winner: Collignon vs Skatov$17.00Jul 13, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet 2 Winner: Collignon vs Skatov$1.80Jul 13, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet 2 Winner: Collignon vs Skatov$0.16Jul 13, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet 2 Winner: Collignon vs Skatov$1.94Jul 13, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet 2 Winner: Collignon vs Skatov$2.00Jul 13, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $40m at auction?$2.52Jul 13, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $40m at auction?$2.46Jul 13, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $40m at auction?$2.30Jul 13, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLepchenko vs. Ibragimova: Match O/U 21.5$1.60Jul 13, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYLepchenko vs. Ibragimova: Match O/U 21.5$1.85Jul 13, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Steven Fisk win the 2026 ISCO Championship?$6.00Jul 13, 12:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
36 closed markets, 67% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 01:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 22:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.