Aged-Restructuring
0x8ef2a6e4986a577d71463dfa0963d111b8a70ef5
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$116.76
Total PnL
$-648.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
118 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$116.76
$1.24
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 4AM ET
413 shares @ 48.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - September 23, 7PM ET
351 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 9AM ET
318 shares @ 47.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - September 17, 7AM ET
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$115.52May 15, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$92.08Apr 16, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$5.00Apr 16, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$5.39Apr 15, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$11.55Apr 15, 01:52 UTC
- REWARD$1.35Apr 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$3.00Apr 14, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$101.82Feb 4, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?$11.39Feb 1, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?$119.25Jan 31, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?$0.75Jan 31, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$125.44Jan 31, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$99.76Jan 23, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 30?$7.48Jan 9, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jia Yueting enter mainland China by December 31?$10.02Jan 9, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea in 2025?$10.02Jan 9, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMChina x Japan sever diplomatic relations in 2025?$10.02Jan 9, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$11.02Jan 9, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?$51.19Jan 9, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 30?$7.47Dec 29, 15:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $167.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 19:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 01:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.