Alarmed-Mission
0x8f1394ddf29400e3d73cc5853ee1cad0702c5c2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$67.78
Total PnL
$-490.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
223 shares @ 13.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$35.69
$6.69
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
263 shares @ 19.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.84
$-38.16
- YES
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?
527 shares @ 3.8¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.81
$-9.19
- YES
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.75
$-1.25
- YES
Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch?
353 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.94
$-2.06
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
192 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.63
$-3.37
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
965 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.45
$-3.55
- YES
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 23?
1323 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.66
$-4.34
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Trump visit China by May 8?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 23?$5.20May 17, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.77May 15, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.76May 12, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?$30.01May 12, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?$20.77May 12, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$3.12May 12, 05:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$403.01May 10, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$24.85May 9, 19:08 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$28.66May 9, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$180.51May 8, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$4.28May 8, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$4.28May 8, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$15.54May 8, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-7-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?$12.47May 5, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?$10.38May 5, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.20May 5, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.19May 5, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$51.62May 5, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.20May 5, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYReya FDV above $1B one day after launch?$4.28May 4, 11:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $23.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 13:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 13:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".