False-Pattern
0x8f23aead02f055b69c7f7db51a2d74187bb2c7d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$4.9K
Total PnL
$-14.1K
Realised
$8.1K
Win rate
71%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
8278 shares @ 22.4¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$2.0K
$169.42
- NO
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
4377 shares @ 43.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$1.5K
$-414.31
- YES
Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
14919 shares @ 5.9¢·now 8.1¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$1.2K
$314.46
- YES
Will AJ Dybantsa be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
757 shares @ 15.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$121.06
$7.57
- YES
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
446 shares @ 14.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$69.13
$6.69
- YES
Will Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
190 shares @ 23.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$27.52
$-16.13
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
50000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
28346 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
26467 shares @ 57.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-15.3K
- YES
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
20206 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-564.83
Recent activity
- REWARD$2.56Jun 4, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$6.41Jun 3, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AJ Dybantsa be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$0.90Jun 2, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AJ Dybantsa be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$1.46Jun 2, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AJ Dybantsa be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$1.95Jun 2, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$6.44Jun 2, 14:11 UTC
- MERGEWill Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$212.00Jun 2, 08:55 UTC
- MERGEWill Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$1.6KJun 2, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$181.25Jun 2, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$123.98Jun 2, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$1.1KJun 2, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$6.13Jun 2, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$1.35Jun 2, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$0.87Jun 2, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AJ Dybantsa be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$0.57Jun 2, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$0.68Jun 2, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AJ Dybantsa be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$0.44Jun 2, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$1.16Jun 2, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AJ Dybantsa be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$0.75Jun 2, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$1.16Jun 2, 05:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $36.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 23:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".