0x8f514910c5e1f2ce541d01d8bbd8e9bea9638b09
0x8f514910c5e1f2ce541d01d8bbd8e9bea9638b09
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$76.80
Realised
$-1.74
Win rate
33%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 4°C or below on May 9?
101 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 9, 2026$100.70
$0.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 44°F or higher on May 9?
101 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 9, 2026$100.44
$0.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on May 9?
101 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 9, 2026$100.33
$0.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 9?
100 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 9, 2026$100.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on May 9?
100 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$99.55
$-0.45
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 43°F or below on May 9?
99 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$98.80
$2.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 8?
111 shares @ 47.7¢·now 86.2¢·exp May 8, 2026$95.40
$42.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 8?
144 shares @ 32.3¢·now 46.5¢·exp May 8, 2026$66.94
$20.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 8?
131 shares @ 21.3¢·now 48.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$62.78
$34.91
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on May 9?
62 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$62.44
$0.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 8?$0.0014m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 8?$0.0922m ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on May 8?$0.0022m ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on May 8?$0.0022m ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on May 8?$15.7022m ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on May 8?$21.1223m ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on May 8?$9.6823m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 8?$0.0923m ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on May 8?$0.0024m ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on May 8?$0.0024m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 8?$0.5125m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 8?$0.6525m ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on May 8?$9.8926m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 8?$0.4038m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 8?$0.3938m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 8?$0.4038m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 8?$0.5038m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 8?$0.5038m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 8?$0.5038m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 8?$0.4938m ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $0.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 1h ago
- Last active
- 14m ago
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
