Bogus-Anxiety
0x8f603541aaacab0517eece4dd5c83a8b4a63a419
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$68.44
Total PnL
$-339.96
Realised
$-7.04
Win rate
31%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by 40–50%?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$5.00
$2.50
- NO
Will Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by less than 10%?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$5.00
$2.50
- NO
Will Mark Lynch win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$5.00
$2.50
- NO
Will Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by 30–40%?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$4.94
$2.44
- NO
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.88
$2.38
- NO
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 6% or more?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.81
$2.31
- NO
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 93.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.68
$2.18
- NO
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.63
$2.13
- NO
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.38
$1.88
- NO
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.35
$1.85
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Cody Gakpo record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.09Jun 13, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christian Pulisic record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.06Jun 13, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another outcome occur in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$0.08Jun 13, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?$0.06Jun 13, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?$5.00Jun 12, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?$5.00Jun 12, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?$5.00Jun 12, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?$5.00Jun 12, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.00Jun 12, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.00Jun 12, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.00Jun 12, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.00Jun 12, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.00Jun 12, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.00Jun 12, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.00Jun 12, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.00Jun 12, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.00Jun 12, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$5.00Jun 12, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 11?$5.00Jun 11, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.00Jun 11, 15:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $0.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 05:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 06:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.