Short-Term-Notion
0x8f68304ee233325eb0ec0fa32adad47d81443b35
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$1.27
Total PnL
$-33.88
Realised
$0.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 4?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$1.27
$0.10
- NO
Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 28?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Ethereum all time high by June 30?
33 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
27 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.14
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 4?
25 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
25 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.21
- YES
Doge ETF approved by July 31?
25 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.40
- YES
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
24 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.12
- YES
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
8 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOver 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$2.08Dec 4, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 4?$1.17Dec 4, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 4?$1.10Dec 4, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$5.12Dec 4, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Dec 4, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.05Dec 4, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill November 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?$1.06Dec 4, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.04Dec 4, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.05Nov 27, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill November 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?$1.10Nov 27, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?$2.60Nov 27, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?$1.10Nov 22, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aztec launch a token in 2025?$1.05Nov 22, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$1.14Nov 22, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.26Nov 22, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$1.05Nov 22, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$0.88Nov 22, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.06Nov 8, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$1.06Nov 8, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.01Nov 1, 05:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 26, 06:13 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 4, 06:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".