0x8f70de9feb71b7835c096a95aa9d258ac2a000e9
0x8f70de9feb71b7835c096a95aa9d258ac2a000e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-461.06
Realised
$3.66
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Adrienne Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
4039 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 65-66°F on May 6?
907 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will J. B. Pritzker be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
769 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump apologize to Elon by Monday?
676 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2025$0.00
$-8.11
- YES
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 20?
544 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-69.20
- YES
Fetterman out in May?
340 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
303 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-13.38
- YES
Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?
215 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump impose film tariff by Friday?
202 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2025$0.00
$-14.14
- YES
Will Elon apologize to Trump by Monday?
183 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2025$0.00
$-8.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams drop out by September 20?$69.20Sep 18, 00:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$18.00Sep 18, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$12.00Jul 21, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$43.24Jun 25, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$19.96Jun 23, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon apologize to Trump by Monday?$8.51Jun 7, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$8.51Jun 7, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump apologize to Elon by Monday?$8.11Jun 7, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$20.00Jun 4, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$20.00May 20, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adrienne Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$50.00May 20, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFetterman out in May?$5.00May 8, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFetterman out in May?$5.00May 8, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: May$10.00May 7, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$10.00May 7, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Israel in May?$25.00May 6, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 65-66°F on May 6?$5.00May 6, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 63-64°F on May 6?$5.00May 6, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump impose film tariff by Friday?$14.14May 6, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 73-74°F on May 7?$13.71May 6, 16:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $27.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 01:04 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 18, 00:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".