Worldly-Radiator
0x8f8c3357de7534e8936eb99baa65407ea3fe4268
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$22.61
Total PnL
$-27.56
Realised
$8.73
Win rate
100%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 13.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$14.70
$12.70
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
142 shares @ 0.6¢·now 3.7¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$5.24
$4.39
- NO
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.34
$0.34
- YES
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.61
$-0.39
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
41 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.59
$-0.08
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%?
69 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.10
$-0.90
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
33 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.02
$-1.01
- NO
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
264 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
GPT-5.3 released by February 21, 2026?
138 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?$1.00Apr 24, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$1.00Mar 13, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?$1.00Mar 12, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.37Mar 7, 22:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$5.56Mar 7, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Iraq by February 28?$1.00Feb 28, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?$1.00Feb 28, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$2.00Feb 24, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.00Feb 22, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$1.00Feb 20, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.45Feb 20, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.00Feb 20, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.00Feb 20, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$2.00Feb 20, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Feb 20, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$1.00Feb 20, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$1.00Feb 20, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.30Feb 19, 23:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?$0.00Feb 14, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$0.00Feb 10, 21:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 13:13 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 15:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".