Smug-Workshop
0x8f99942df6ae713f184eb807ce1d5716465608e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
59
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-190.59
Realised
$-54.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?
501 shares @ 96.7¢·now 97.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$489.13
$4.71
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?
201 shares @ 94.6¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$192.62
$2.71
- NO
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
161 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$160.02
$0.65
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$93.50
$2.50
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
150 shares @ 1.7¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$24.98
$22.47
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
150 shares @ 1.7¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$24.68
$22.17
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
150 shares @ 1.7¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.88
$14.37
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
150 shares @ 1.7¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$14.47
$11.97
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
150 shares @ 1.7¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.78
$9.27
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
150 shares @ 1.7¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.17
$8.67
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$100.00Jun 13, 15:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$96.00Jun 3, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$91.00Jun 3, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$159.47Jun 3, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$290.92Jun 3, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?$190.63Jun 3, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$194.64Jun 3, 03:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $50 in May?$58.83Jun 3, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?$200.00Jun 3, 03:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $149.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.