Bright-Thinking
0x8fa120e9de32e310f87e63c86884e59015696f47
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 3?
340 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 12?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 13?
174 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 11?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 April 27-May 3?$51.92May 1, 11:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 April 27-May 3?$51.08Apr 28, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$205.73Apr 28, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?$98.09Apr 28, 13:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 28, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?$98.00Apr 27, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$206.00Apr 27, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 26?$100.09Apr 27, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 25?$103.10Apr 27, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 26?$100.00Apr 25, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 25?$95.09Apr 25, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 25?$103.00Apr 24, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 25?$95.00Apr 23, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 16?$112.10Apr 22, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$470.00Apr 22, 16:14 UTC
- SPLITDogecoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$470.00Apr 16, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 16?$112.00Apr 16, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 13?$92.26Apr 16, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$490.00Apr 16, 14:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $90.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 13:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 11:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".