Fabulous-Fright
0x8fe6c93a9ee028dc3f38ddf9a2967fa63ca9a54a
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.93
Total PnL
$-316.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
62 shares @ 2.9¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.93
$-0.87
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
1194 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
548 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
176 shares @ 31.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- NO
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
151 shares @ 66.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
149 shares @ 33.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
22 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$1.80Jul 17, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.24Jul 17, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$26.18Jul 17, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$26.22Jul 17, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$5.35Jul 17, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$5.35Jul 17, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$5.32Jul 17, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$26.40Jul 17, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$5.26Jul 17, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$15.94Jul 17, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$5.24Jul 17, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$5.34Jul 17, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$26.63Jul 17, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$26.08Jul 17, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$25.98Jul 17, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$26.28Jul 17, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$88.33Jul 17, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$26.26Jul 17, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$86.23Jul 17, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$25.72Jul 17, 20:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $23.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 19:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 21:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.