0x8ff11bbfdf777b2afc1692c455d5e2b8f0f14d1f
0x8ff11bbfdf777b2afc1692c455d5e2b8f0f14d1f
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$70.68
Total PnL
$-445.31
Realised
$-31.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?
33 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$33.33
$13.33
- YES
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$25.00
$15.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?
80 shares @ 12.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.56
$-4.04
- YES
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?
42 shares @ 22.3¢·now 8.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.63
$-5.72
- YES
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
117 shares @ 8.5¢·now 2.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.16
$-6.79
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
6814 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
2174 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
714 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
597 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?
509 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?$7.90Feb 20, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?$1.09Feb 20, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?$0.54Feb 20, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?$2.69Feb 20, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?$0.62Feb 20, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?$0.27Feb 20, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?$0.54Feb 20, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by March 31?$9.60Feb 20, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?$9.60Feb 20, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?$9.95Feb 20, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$9.75Feb 20, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?$9.35Feb 20, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?$2.10Feb 20, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?$35.58Feb 6, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?$49.00Feb 6, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?$5.00Feb 6, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?$2.00Feb 6, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?$3.35Feb 6, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?$26.40Feb 6, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?$20.00Feb 4, 22:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $22.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 25, 17:40 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 07:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.