Our-Furnace
0x8ff623523ec00756eb71b3fc877f401e02e39f32
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$56.67
Total PnL
$-246.05
Realised
$13.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6667 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$56.67
$-3.33
- YES
Will GERB-SDS (GERB–SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
892 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?
213 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-128.00
- YES
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
98 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
65 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by less than 5%?
55 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.16
- FLAVIO COBOLLI
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$11.27Jun 13, 22:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev$10.24Jun 7, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLRoland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev$52.18Jun 7, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev$10.27Jun 7, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev$30.71Jun 7, 14:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Thunder$10.51May 31, 02:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $32.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 23:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.