Phony-Regret
0x8ff98bdd0170eb4bac5b3b155e35cb6f49902803
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$3.48
Total PnL
$-27.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.48
$-7.02
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 500 and 519 times September 5–12?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 200 times September 5–12?
3500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July?
500 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
425 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
Recent activity
- TRADESELLOver 7000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$532.07Dec 1, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver 7000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$533.15Dec 1, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$10.50Nov 28, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?$1.00Oct 14, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$6.00Oct 9, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?$2.00Sep 16, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 200 times September 5–12?$3.50Sep 11, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 500 and 519 times September 5–12?$4.00Sep 10, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$1.70Jul 16, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200K in July?$2.50Jul 12, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMAleo airdrop in 2024?$0.00Jul 12, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMBerachain airdrop in 2024?$0.00Jul 12, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $170 on November 1?$0.00Jul 12, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $2,600 on November 1?$0.00Jul 12, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMLinea airdrop in 2024?$0.00Jul 12, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Jul 12, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMRainbow airdrop in 2024?$0.00Jul 12, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? $0.00Jul 12, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $145 on October 18?$0.00Jul 12, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMFarcaster airdrop in 2024?$0.00Jul 12, 06:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $37.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 17, 17:44 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 1, 20:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".