Amusing-Fabric
0x90103447b2aac2f3cf906c70d3892529311bd06f
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-210.46
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1600 shares @ 46.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$504.00
$-232.00
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
464 shares @ 23.4¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$324.56
$215.83
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 47.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$302.00
$114.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
400 shares @ 34.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$186.00
$50.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
220 shares @ 36.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$184.80
$105.60
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 27.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$146.00
$38.00
- NO
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
200 shares @ 70.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$135.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
800 shares @ 32.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$100.00
$-156.00
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
200 shares @ 52.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$95.00
$-9.00
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
258 shares @ 31.3¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$65.67
$-14.92
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$24.11May 17, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$25.89May 17, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$0.88May 17, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$0.11May 17, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$0.07May 17, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$17.00May 17, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 17, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$41.99May 17, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$1.70May 17, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.31May 17, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$18.09May 17, 00:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$0.17May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$134.25May 16, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.75May 16, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$2.96May 16, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$5.00May 16, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$0.45May 16, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$4.55May 16, 11:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $22.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 13:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".