Cavernous-Death
0x90134a5c61876dc0f35b72eed743605daae5fc71
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$72.57
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
3246 shares @ 18.7¢·now 22.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$725.41
$119.21
- YES
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
521 shares @ 30.6¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$179.62
$20.37
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
507 shares @ 29.6¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$141.84
$-8.16
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
1592 shares @ 8.1¢·now 7.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$125.78
$-3.74
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
673 shares @ 14.9¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$97.55
$-2.45
- YES
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
393 shares @ 12.8¢·now 5.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$19.43
$-31.02
- YES
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
7 shares @ 5.9¢·now 4.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.31
$-0.08
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
3431 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-312.88
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
3098 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-86.70
- YES
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
2692 shares @ 57.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?$9.36Jun 14, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$83.20Jun 14, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$52.00Jun 14, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$52.00Jun 14, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$52.00Jun 14, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$50.00Jun 14, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$100.00Jun 14, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$50.00Jun 14, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$104.00Jun 14, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?$99.58Jun 14, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$30.70Jun 14, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$104.00Jun 14, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$786.61Jun 12, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$124.80Jun 12, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$51.42Jun 11, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$48.27Jun 11, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$104.00Jun 11, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$71.22Jun 11, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$104.00Jun 11, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$520.00Jun 11, 20:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $115.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 16:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.