Failing-Commission
0x9023904320cceeaa327a8a00c9e01d21e7b254bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
XRP all time high by June 30?
500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-09-17?
303 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- OVER
Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5
216 shares @ 47.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-102.00
- UNDER
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5
207 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- RED SOX
Athletics vs. Red Sox
202 shares @ 59.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-121.00
- RAYS
Blue Jays vs. Rays
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- PADRES
Padres vs. Mets
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- REDS
Reds vs. Cardinals
200 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-102.00
- RANGERS
Rangers vs. Astros
197 shares @ 57.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2025$0.00
$-114.00
- UNDER
Los Angeles Angels vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5
192 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$20.06Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$16.16Jun 1, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$20.00Jun 1, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,600 in March?$59.80Jun 1, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,600 in March?$59.32Mar 4, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $90 before 2026?$62.31Mar 4, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $90 before 2026?$62.00Dec 29, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid reach $70 in November?$1.9KDec 29, 20:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Nov 29, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid reach $70 in November?$1.9KNov 28, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$699.29Nov 28, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win on 2025-10-01?$1.2KNov 28, 14:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Nov 28, 00:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Nov 27, 00:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Nov 26, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Nov 25, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Nov 24, 00:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Nov 23, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Nov 22, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Nov 21, 00:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
6 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $465.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 22, 00:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.