Handy-Thrush
0x9028aa08d75bdda75424b7471b10ea930fb343c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$140.72
Total PnL
$-982.64
Realised
$8.23
Win rate
72%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
612 shares @ 29.2¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$140.72
$-38.23
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
17331 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-39.22
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?
11541 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-23.08
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?
3043 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.09
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13?
2418 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.23
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
2305 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.47
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
1582 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.59
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
1404 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.27
- YES
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
1181 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$1.06Jul 20, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$1.01Jul 20, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$1.06Jul 20, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.07Jul 20, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$2.28Jul 20, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 20?$1.00Jul 20, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 20?$2.83Jul 20, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 20?$0.25Jul 20, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 20?$7.24Jul 20, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 20?$2.80Jul 20, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on July 19?$2.74Jul 20, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.02Jul 19, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.02Jul 19, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.38Jul 19, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.01Jul 19, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.40Jul 19, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.60Jul 19, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.60Jul 19, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$1.05Jul 19, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$1.15Jul 19, 22:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
72% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 14:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 23:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.