0x9052b9e1f037fc222b3ad005abf7fa0b870a0900
0x9052b9e1f037fc222b3ad005abf7fa0b870a0900
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-143.07
Realised
$-1.72
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
6243 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-18.73
- NO
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?
4680 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.68
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 12AM ET
3193 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.72
- YES
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?
1890 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.89
- YES
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?
1577 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.73
- YES
Will "Love on the Spectrum: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?
927 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10AM ET
488 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
390 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
260 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
256 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?$1.95Jun 23, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?$4.87Jun 23, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner$1.95Jun 13, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner$4.45Jun 13, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner$2.03Jun 13, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner$1.95Jun 13, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$1.95Jun 10, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?$4.87Jun 9, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$1.95Jun 9, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$1.94Jun 8, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$1.95Jun 8, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$1.94Jun 8, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$1.95Jun 8, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$1.94Jun 8, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$4.87Jun 3, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$4.87Jun 3, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$9.74Jun 3, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$1.95Apr 9, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.95Apr 6, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Love on the Spectrum: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?$1.95Apr 6, 12:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $3.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 06:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 17:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.