0x905fad932f479f62bf74f1dbd75ef8cf19a02551
0x905fad932f479f62bf74f1dbd75ef8cf19a02551
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
139
Open notional
$44.37
Total PnL
$-581.19
Realised
$6.92
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 139- YES
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$7.01
$1.75
- ALEKSANDAR RAKIC
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)
5 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$5.21
$1.20
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$5.13
$1.74
- SAN DIEGO PADRES
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals
5 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$5.11
$1.07
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$5.11
$1.79
- AURORA GAMING
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner
5 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$4.99
$1.05
- NO
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
5 shares @ 66.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$4.86
$1.63
- NEW YORK YANKEES
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
7 shares @ 62.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Sep 5, 2026$3.61
$-1.01
- CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
7 shares @ 64.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Aug 27, 2026$3.34
$-1.02
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
22 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-16.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays$6.02Aug 2, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMMinnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners$6.31Aug 2, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays$3.91Aug 1, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winner$1.23Aug 1, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$3.92Aug 1, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners$3.92Aug 1, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)$6.25Aug 1, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner$3.09Aug 1, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)$4.07Aug 1, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)$4.06Aug 1, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMMilwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels$6.11Aug 1, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays$6.41Aug 1, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels$3.80Jul 31, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays$4.06Jul 31, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs$4.05Jul 31, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMTexas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays$6.30Jul 30, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays$3.98Jul 30, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMColorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres$6.22Jul 30, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers$2.65Jul 29, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres$3.99Jul 29, 20:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $3.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 20:02 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 07:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.