Strong-Overweight
0x9061f641221c99b7376ecb59db2825a7e379b94f
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$160.61
Realised
$0.67
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1182 shares @ 85.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$112.32
- NO
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
151 shares @ 90.7¢·now 92.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$140.03
$2.98
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
200 shares @ 43.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$101.00
$15.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
100 shares @ 12.9¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$80.55
$67.65
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $340 on July 29?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$5.90
$0.90
- NO
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
200 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.10
$-9.50
- NO
Will Trump praise Cristiano Ronaldo by July 31?
56 shares @ 52.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-29.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $340 on July 29?$5.00Jul 29, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$87.96Jul 28, 17:44 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England?$20.00Jul 28, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$122.00Jul 8, 02:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump praise Cristiano Ronaldo by July 31?$3.30Jul 7, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Cristiano Ronaldo by July 31?$10.92Jul 7, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Cristiano Ronaldo by July 31?$10.60Jul 7, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Cristiano Ronaldo by July 31?$10.60Jul 7, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?$20.00Jul 7, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England?$19.66Jul 7, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?$19.24Jul 7, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$10.00Jul 7, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$12.90Jul 6, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$7.70Jul 6, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$9.60Jul 6, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.51Jul 6, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$122.00Jul 6, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$136.68Jul 3, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$44.73Jun 18, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$32.87Jun 18, 06:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $87.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 21:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 06:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.