Immaterial-Waterbed
0x907fbca97970117483d17f9d3ee59ef6473286eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$90.09
Total PnL
$-9.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?
90 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$90.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on October 26?
767 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 23?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on October 26?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
6 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?$90.01Jun 1, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$1.05Jun 1, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 29?$91.09Jun 1, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 29?$91.01May 28, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?$90.09May 28, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?$90.00May 23, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 23?$1.07May 23, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?$91.09May 23, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?$91.00May 17, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?$91.09May 17, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?$91.01May 12, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 8?$91.09May 12, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 8?$91.01May 7, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$91.09May 7, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$91.00May 4, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$91.09May 4, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$91.00Apr 26, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 23?$91.08Apr 26, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 23?$91.00Apr 23, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 18?$91.17Apr 23, 11:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $83.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 11:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 08:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".