Merry-Rowing
0x90a0774c37e43c03116917adf3563aee1eb67e0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$5.7K
Total PnL
$3.0K
Realised
$23.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
3155 shares @ 28.2¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.7K
$1.8K
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
1203 shares @ 57.8¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.2K
$470.40
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
1029 shares @ 27.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$884.80
$606.86
- YES
Will the announcers say "Safety" during the Panthers vs Cardinals Hall of Fame Game?
500 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$480.00
$30.00
- NO
Will the announcers say "What a Catch" during the Panthers vs Cardinals Hall of Fame Game?
229 shares @ 67.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$187.78
$34.35
- NO
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
200 shares @ 74.3¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$179.00
$30.30
- NO
Discord IPO before 2027?
100 shares @ 36.0¢·now 72.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$72.70
$36.70
- YES
Will the announcers say "Pro Bowl" or "Pro Bowler" during the Panthers vs Cardinals Hall of Fame Game?
27 shares @ 99.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$26.34
$-0.82
- YES
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
200 shares @ 9.9¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.50
$-9.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Pro Bowl" or "Pro Bowler" during the Panthers vs Cardinals Hall of Fame Game?$27.18Aug 7, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "Flag" 10+ times during the Panthers vs Cardinals Hall of Fame Game?$150.00Aug 7, 04:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the game not air?$105.00Aug 7, 02:12 UTC
- REWARD$0.17Aug 7, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the game not air?$104.90Aug 6, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "What a Catch" during the Panthers vs Cardinals Hall of Fame Game?$153.43Aug 6, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Safety" during the Panthers vs Cardinals Hall of Fame Game?$450.00Aug 6, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Flag" 10+ times during the Panthers vs Cardinals Hall of Fame Game?$135.54Aug 6, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas?$77.82Aug 5, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas?$6.70Aug 5, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas?$6.70Aug 5, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas?$6.70Aug 5, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas?$35.82Aug 5, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas?$4.01Aug 5, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?$1.51Aug 3, 23:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?$1.00Aug 2, 22:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?$9.00Aug 2, 22:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?$7.00Aug 2, 22:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?$7.00Aug 2, 22:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?$30.00Aug 2, 22:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $60.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 14:29 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 06:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.