0x90b30dc6113009d804a47c7b3beb0bcbb3b60db9
0x90b30dc6113009d804a47c7b3beb0bcbb3b60db9
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$90.55
Total PnL
$7.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
56 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$51.67
$1.67
- NO
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
38 shares @ 78.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.97
$5.96
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 58.2¢·now 58.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.92
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.97Jul 16, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$4.75Jul 16, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$45.25Jul 16, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMITF Granby: Mao Mushika vs Cadence Brace$193.44Jul 15, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Granby: Mao Mushika vs Cadence Brace$50.00Jul 15, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Granby: Mao Mushika vs Cadence Brace$50.00Jul 15, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Granby: Mao Mushika vs Cadence Brace$50.00Jul 15, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Granby: Mao Mushika vs Cadence Brace$50.00Jul 15, 06:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$193.92Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$41.28Jul 14, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMCroatia Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Juan Carlos Prado$56.02Jul 14, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYCroatia Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Juan Carlos Prado$50.00Jul 14, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCroatia Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Juan Carlos Prado$2.45Jul 14, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCroatia Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Juan Carlos Prado$2.45Jul 14, 13:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMBunschoten: Mika Brunold vs Buvaysar Gadamauri$26.40Jul 13, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBunschoten: Mika Brunold vs Buvaysar Gadamauri$19.20Jul 13, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBunschoten: Mika Brunold vs Buvaysar Gadamauri$2.50Jul 13, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBunschoten: Mika Brunold vs Buvaysar Gadamauri$3.22Jul 13, 13:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $12.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 12:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 15:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.