Impish-Sidewalk
0x90b7a07dd67b39ba1dbc870c319bc48b72210b0d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$612.94
Total PnL
$111.57
Realised
$56.15
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30?
219 shares @ 63.2¢·now 82.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$179.39
$41.10
- NO
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30?
90 shares @ 76.3¢·now 86.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$78.13
$9.25
- NO
Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30?
104 shares @ 65.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$78.00
$10.40
- NO
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?
81 shares @ 77.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$73.59
$11.34
- NO
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?
66 shares @ 72.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$60.96
$12.95
- NO
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?
140 shares @ 33.9¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$60.90
$13.50
- YES
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 16.5¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?
38 shares @ 73.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.52
$4.43
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.45
$-21.55
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 19?
100 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$2.15Jul 24, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.80Jul 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?$42.16Jul 21, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$199.99Jul 20, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?$190.00Jul 19, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?$50.00Jul 19, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?$47.40Jul 19, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$56.00Jul 17, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$27.50Jul 17, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$29.12Jul 17, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?$11.39Jul 16, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30?$67.60Jul 16, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?$14.01Jul 16, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30?$39.57Jul 16, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 19?$6.00Jul 15, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?$2.79Jul 15, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?$15.00Jul 14, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by July 31, 2026?$173.42Jul 14, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?$93.00Jul 13, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?$100.63Jul 13, 16:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $57.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 09:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.