Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Probability
10¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$290.66
Liquidity
$30.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Without an Anthropic API key we show a heuristic summary derived from the market metrics.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6032.2h
- 19:50SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6032h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 19:49PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 12¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 12¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 12¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 12¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 12¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
25- BUYUP2m ago
- BUYDOWN2m ago
- BUYUP2m ago
- BUYUP2m ago
- BUYHAMISH STEWART2m ago
- BUYDOWN2m ago
- BUYUP2m ago
- SELLOVER2m ago
- BUYDOWN2m ago
- SELLNO2m ago
- BUYDOWN2m ago
- BUYDOWN2m ago
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Market Description
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- Resolution source
- UMA status
- n/a
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the market rules.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
20 wallets- Total-Sash12.7K
- Mundane-Wasting4.6K
- 0xfa39…977f3.2K
- Sophisticated-Turn2.9K
- Mammoth-Payment2.5K
- Splendid-Collection14.6K
- Unnatural-Expansion13.9K
- Apprehensive-Breakdown6.9K
- Uneven-Gas6.0K
- Gaseous-Percentage5.5K