Uniform-Singular
0x90c156ab99cd5bf2e55e9eb6a36706bda565f6be
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
86
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-14.3K
Realised
$3.0K
Win rate
10%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- YES
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?
2045 shares @ 14.7¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$419.28
$119.28
- YES
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?
675 shares @ 44.5¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$232.76
$-67.24
- YES
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
2320 shares @ 8.6¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$174.01
$-25.99
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
11164 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$139.55
$-31.44
- YES
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
2698 shares @ 5.5¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$76.89
$-73.11
- YES
Trump out as President by July 31?
200000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
44932 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.4K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?
40000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?
33999 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.0K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?
28173 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-450.64
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$3.97Jul 24, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by July 31?$398.02Jul 23, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by July 31?$0.18Jul 20, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by July 31?$1.44Jul 20, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by July 31?$0.36Jul 19, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$4.20Jul 19, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$31.48Jul 19, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 1+ goals AND Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5$50.00Jul 19, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$209.40Jul 19, 18:06 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.50Jul 19, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$2.12Jul 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$52.46Jul 18, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$105.98Jul 18, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?$310.24Jul 18, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$104.88Jul 18, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?$104.88Jul 18, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$92.05Jul 18, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$0.27Jul 18, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$404.58Jul 18, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$7.50Jul 18, 18:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
10% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $101.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 12:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.