Old-Fashioned-Scarification
0x90c3c250df7008e9dd0a9b669e9c7409efd3a732
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$53.62
Total PnL
$-4.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
43 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$43.10
$18.10
- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
23 shares @ 85.2¢·now 44.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.52
$-9.48
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 11–18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 320 and 339 times September 5–12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in June?
894 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 1?$527.88Dec 1, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 1?$530.55Dec 1, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$20.00Dec 1, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$25.00Nov 26, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMOver $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$44.99Oct 30, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$40.00Oct 29, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Catherine Connolly win by 20% or more?$40.04Oct 28, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catherine Connolly win by 20% or more?$40.00Oct 26, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$10.00Oct 14, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 320 and 339 times September 5–12?$1.00Sep 12, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 240–254 times July 11–18?$1.00Jul 18, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1000 in June?$1.01Jun 29, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$0.00Jun 29, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$3.00Jan 13, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMAleo airdrop in 2024?$0.00Jan 3, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMAstaria airdrop in 2024?$0.00Jan 3, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMBerachain airdrop in 2024?$0.00Jan 3, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMMetaMask airdrop in 2024?$0.00Jan 3, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMLinea airdrop in 2024?$0.00Jan 3, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMPartyDAO airdrop in 2024?$0.00Jan 3, 14:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $60.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 20, 08:00 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 1, 09:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".