Defiant-Production
0x90da1bf705e136e4c37247308b47fbbd4b424042
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.12
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$-638.58
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
22 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.12
$-0.91
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?
39191 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-362.28
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
15827 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?
6581 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-31.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
1857 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-18.57
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
723 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-96.89
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
595 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-103.46
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
551 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.06
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $660 in May?
148 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-19.24
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
66 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $660 in May?$19.91May 4, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$0.60May 4, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.70May 4, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$0.76May 4, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$1.40May 4, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.41May 4, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$5.05May 4, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$10.25May 3, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$5.33May 2, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$5.18May 2, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$15.29May 2, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.00May 2, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$7.07May 2, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$5.22May 2, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$7.08May 2, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$5.22May 2, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$5.20May 2, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$5.19May 2, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?$0.00May 1, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$0.00May 1, 07:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $61.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 19:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 16:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.