Impressionable-Havoc
0x90ee186f31357d7db9d9b8f898ae988bdcbb801b
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$6.8K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$537.80
Win rate
72%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?
3000 shares @ 97.8¢·now 95.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$2.9K
$-66.50
- NO
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?
2000 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$2.0K
$3.00
- NO
Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 14?
400 shares @ 91.8¢·now 94.6¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$378.40
$11.00
- NO
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?
400 shares @ 95.6¢·now 90.8¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$363.00
$-19.40
- NO
Will Kai or Speed die to an enderman?
784 shares @ 29.9¢·now 39.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$309.77
$75.55
- YES
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 1%?
200 shares @ 74.6¢·now 98.4¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$196.80
$47.60
- NO
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?
200 shares @ 83.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$166.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?
200 shares @ 88.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$161.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
200 shares @ 83.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$133.00
$-33.00
- YES
Will Kai or Speed die to an enderman?
200 shares @ 56.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$121.00
$9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?$166.00Aug 12, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$319.59Aug 12, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$38.81Aug 12, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$358.00Aug 12, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$26.89Aug 12, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 1%?$29.78Aug 12, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 1%?$44.72Aug 12, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 1%?$67.23Aug 12, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 1%?$7.47Aug 12, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$229.59Aug 12, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$75.59Aug 12, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$20.40Aug 12, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$34.89Aug 12, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$3.65Aug 12, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$3.65Aug 12, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$29.28Aug 12, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$12.24Aug 12, 01:35 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.97Aug 12, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.47Aug 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed die to an enderman?$78.43Aug 11, 19:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
72% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $172.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 14:42 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 08:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.