Acceptable-Rhythm
0x90f02fc564c76bccc6032fe8f9779dc0ef5ddc7a
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-889.37
Realised
$5.92
Win rate
41%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
2793 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-71.71
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
726 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.77
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 26?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
233 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
198 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 73°F or below on July 19?
184 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 23?
174 shares @ 23.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-41.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 6?
173 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23?
166 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-43.17
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 31?$1.05Jul 31, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 30?$6.00Jul 30, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on July 30?$10.00Jul 30, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 30?$22.00Jul 30, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 30?$1.46Jul 30, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 30?$0.57Jul 30, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 30?$1.53Jul 30, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 30?$2.17Jul 30, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 30?$1.83Jul 30, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on July 30?$0.12Jul 30, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on July 30?$3.07Jul 30, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 30?$2.50Jul 30, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 30?$0.43Jul 30, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 30?$0.95Jul 30, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 30?$1.10Jul 30, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 30?$1.07Jul 30, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 30?$5.50Jul 30, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 30?$5.50Jul 30, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 30?$2.60Jul 30, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 31?$1.98Jul 30, 12:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
41% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 15:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 05:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.