0x90f02fc564c76bccc6032fe8f9779dc0ef5ddc7a
0x90f02fc564c76bccc6032fe8f9779dc0ef5ddc7a
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$11.55
Total PnL
$-201.89
Realised
$20.26
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.33
$-0.17
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
66 shares @ 7.6¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.82
$-3.18
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
6 shares @ 33.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$1.53
$-0.45
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
30 shares @ 10.1¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.35
$-1.65
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
60 shares @ 3.5¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.11
$-0.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 24?
23 shares @ 4.3¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 24?
122 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 24?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
20 shares @ 9.9¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.48
$-1.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 23?
61 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.09
$-0.91
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.91Jun 23, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-23?$2.40Jun 23, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 24?$1.05Jun 23, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Acend (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A$1.30Jun 23, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 24?$1.03Jun 23, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 24?$1.05Jun 23, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?$0.91Jun 23, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?$1.04Jun 23, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 23?$1.05Jun 23, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Acend (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A$2.01Jun 23, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - DraculaN Group B$2.50Jun 23, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.06Jun 23, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - DraculaN Group B$2.49Jun 23, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2.50Jun 22, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$1.98Jun 22, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?$1.10Jun 22, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?$1.05Jun 22, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.64Jun 22, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$2.10Jun 21, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.00Jun 21, 12:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 19:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 21:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.