Thorough-Pasta-Shrine
0x90ff0c78acdff71aaacf9b27bdc79806d52c0b33
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$292.87
Total PnL
$-534.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
357 shares @ 56.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$198.21
$-1.79
- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?
278 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$48.61
$-1.39
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
99 shares @ 47.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$46.04
$-0.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
1350 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
1318 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-355.77
- YES
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
319 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-70.24
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
224 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
57 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$47.28Jun 19, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$50.66Jun 19, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-19?$51.23Jun 19, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$151.98Jun 19, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$25.98Jun 19, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$26.47Jun 19, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$26.10Jun 19, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$26.71Jun 19, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$5.33Jun 19, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$35.71Jun 19, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$25.52Jun 19, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$363.56Jun 16, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$71.88Jun 15, 23:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $72.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 23:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 04:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.