Mundane-Wrapper
0x9139e96e5258965ade0fc7a4e12a366a102a9b5b
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
138
Open notional
$25.50
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$24.65
Win rate
35%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 138- YES
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
85 shares @ 52.2¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$25.50
$-18.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
836 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
750 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-2.00
- FRANCE
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
640 shares @ 59.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-382.42
- NO
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
450 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
326 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
297 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-154.24
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
290 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-69.58
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
286 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-13.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$390.12Jul 14, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$7.20Jul 13, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba military clash in 2026?$7.50Jul 13, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?$100.00Jul 13, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$20.77Jul 11, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5$272.73Jul 10, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5$152.02Jul 9, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYInk FDV above $500M one day after launch?$14.62Jul 6, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?$59.23Jul 2, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$25.02Jun 3, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$121.53Jun 3, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$8.13Jun 2, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$15.06Jun 2, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$56.00May 30, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$8.50May 30, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$5.08May 27, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$5.06May 27, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$2.40May 27, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$10.15May 27, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$3.45May 27, 20:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
35% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $29.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 13:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 11:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.